CLAL - Advisory in Dairy and Food Product

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China: recovery after lockdown and trade agreements with the U.S.

This edition of CLAL Lens aims to quantify:

the recovery of China’s imports after the lockdown implemented to face the spread of Coronavirus, and
the effect of the recent trade agreements with the United States

The information is reported both in terms of volumes and value, with real-time updates.

Check out the China imports with breakdown by dairy product >

Flash Bulletins on the Dairy Market

Reports on specific topics to find engaging answers to market questions

Flash Bulletins on the Dairy Market

Reports on specific topics to find engaging answers to market questions.

August 31, 2018

A new Flash Bulletin will be available soon...

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Related Charts

Market News

World

US: Cheese 40# Blocks price	In aumento	+5,69%
US: Butter, Grade AA price	In calo	-1,92%
US: Acid Casein price	In aumento	+3,53%
US: Nonfat Dry Milk Price	In aumento	+2,59%
US: Dry Whey Animal Use Stock	In calo	-3,76%
US: Dry Whey Human Use Stock	In calo	-7,16%

Europe

Poland: Butter price (82%)	In aumento	+0,93%
DE, Bavaria: Farm gate milk price	In calo	-6,18%
Netherlands: Whey Powder feed price	In aumento	+1,39%
Netherlands: Butter price (82%)	In calo	-5,27%
Netherlands: Whole Milk Powder (WMP) price	In calo	-2,28%
Netherlands: Skim Milk Powder feed price	In aumento	+0,36%

Italy

IT, Parma: Parmig. Regg. PDO (15 months) price	In aumento	+0,66%
IT, Parma: Parmig. Regg. PDO (30 months) price	In aumento	+0,55%
IT, Parma: Parmig.Regg. (24 months) price	In aumento	+0,58%
IT, Parma: Parmig.Regg. (12 months) price	In aumento	+1,03%
IT, Parma: Parmig. PDO Regg. (18 months) price	In aumento	+0,61%
IT, Parma: Churned butter price	In calo	-2,56%

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AGRICULTURAL MARKET News
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Information Note

Market News evidences only the changes; should no price change or no quotation take place, any mention will be made.
The change/variation concerning PRODUCTION/OUTPUT quantity refers to the same period of the previous year.
The change/variation concerning STOCK quantity refers to the previous month.
The change/variation of price refers to PRICES expressed in local currency (for both EU and the World). The change refers to the previous week/month/year, as the case may be. In the case of dual-listed (min and max), changes are calculated using the MAX PRICE.

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Milk - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2026 (Forecast made in December)
Country	Cow Milk Production		Other Milk Production		Fluid Domestic Consumption		Factory Use
World	565.43	+0.7%	124.58	+2.2%	197.32	+0.8%	488.05	+1.1%
India	105.40	+2.1%	116.00	+2.4%	93.00	+2.2%	128.37	+2.3%
Share %	18.6%		93.1%		47.1%		26.3%
EU-27	144.80	-0.5%	4.15	-0.5%	23.00	-0.9%	125.68	-0.3%
Share %	25.6%		3.3%		11.7%		25.8%
United States	106.19	+1.2%	0.00	0.0%	20.00	-1.0%	85.55	+1.7%
Share %	18.8%		0.0%		10.1%		17.5%
China	40.60	0.0%	0.91	+1.1%	15.70	+0.7%	26.43	-0.4%
Share %	7.2%		0.7%		8.0%		5.4%
Russia	33.90	-0.3%	0.00	0.0%	7.03	-0.4%	25.28	0.0%
Share %	6.0%		0.0%		3.6%		5.2%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2025-12-20

Milk - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2026 (Forecast made in June)
World	-	-	-	-	-
India	-	-	-	-	-
EU-27	-	-	-	-	-
United States	-	-	-	-	-
China	-	-	-	-	-
Russia	-	-	-	-	-
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2025-12-20

Milk - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2025
World	561.27	+1.2%	121.85	+2.2%	195.69	+0.6%	482.61	+1.7%
India	103.20	+2.2%	113.30	+2.3%	91.00	+2.2%	125.48	+2.3%
Share %	18.4%	93.1%	46.2%	26.2%
EU-27	145.50	-0.4%	4.17	-2.3%	23.21	-1.3%	126.10	-0.3%
Share %	26.0%	3.4%	11.8%	26.3%
United States	104.96	+2.4%	0.00	0.0%	20.20	-1.0%	84.13	+3.3%
Share %	18.8%	0.0%	10.3%	17.5%
China	40.60	-0.5%	0.90	+7.1%	15.59	-0.7%	26.55	-0.2%
Share %	7.3%	0.7%	7.9%	5.5%
Russia	34.00	-0.2%	0.00	0.0%	7.05	-0.4%	25.28	-0.2%
Share %	6.1%	0.0%	3.6%	5.3%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2025-12-20

Butter - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2026 (Forecast made in December)
World	0.25	-6.3%	12.62	+2.4%	0.67	+1.8%	1.12	-4.8%	12.19	+3.1%	0.24	-4.0%
India	0.00	0.0%	7.44	+3.4%	0.00	0.0%	0.09	+3.7%	7.35	+3.4%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	59.0%	0.0%	8.0%	60.3%	0.0%
EU-27	0.00	0.0%	2.06	-1.4%	0.08	0.0%	0.23	-15.1%	1.91	+0.5%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	16.3%	11.9%	20.5%	15.7%	0.0%
United States	0.09	-7.2%	1.15	+7.0%	0.08	+9.7%	0.09	-21.2%	1.14	+9.0%	0.10	+5.6%
Share %	36.0%	9.1%	11.9%	8.0%	9.4%	41.7%
New Zealand	0.04	-21.2%	0.54	0.0%	0.00	0.0%	0.52	0.0%	0.03	0.0%	0.03	-26.8%
Share %	16.0%	4.3%	0.0%	46.4%	0.2%	12.5%
Russia	0.02	0.0%	0.28	-0.7%	0.12	+6.2%	0.00	0.0%	0.39	+1.3%	0.02	0.0%
Share %	8.0%	2.2%	17.9%	0.0%	3.2%	8.3%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2025-12-20

Butter - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2026 (Forecast made in June)
World	-	-	-	-	-
India	-	-	-	-	-
EU-27	-	-	-	-	-
United States	-	-	-	-	-
New Zealand	-	-	-	-	-
Russia	-	-	-	-	-
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2025-12-20

Butter - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2025
World	0.27	+5.1%	12.32	+2.8%	0.66	+6.1%	1.17	+12.6%	11.83	+2.3%	0.25	-6.3%
India	0.00	0.0%	7.19	+3.0%	0.00	+∞	0.08	+28.1%	7.11	+2.8%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	58.5%	0.0%	7.1%	59.9%	0.0%
EU-27	0.00	0.0%	2.09	+0.1%	0.08	+82.9%	0.27	-2.6%	1.90	+2.4%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	17.0%	11.8%	23.8%	16.0%	0.0%
United States	0.10	+6.6%	1.08	+6.0%	0.07	-31.4%	0.11	+145.7%	1.04	-2.4%	0.09	-7.2%
Share %	36.4%	8.8%	10.4%	9.7%	8.8%	38.5%
New Zealand	0.05	+36.8%	0.54	+3.9%	0.00	0.0%	0.52	+9.6%	0.03	0.0%	0.04	-21.2%
Share %	18.2%	4.4%	0.0%	45.9%	0.3%	17.1%
Russia	0.02	+33.3%	0.28	-1.1%	0.11	+4.6%	0.00	-50.0%	0.39	+2.1%	0.02	0.0%
Share %	7.3%	2.3%	16.3%	0.0%	3.3%	8.5%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2025-12-20

Cheese - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2026 (Forecast made in December)
World	1.07	+0.9%	23.19	+1.3%	2.28	-1.3%	3.32	+1.4%	22.15	+1.1%	1.07	+0.1%
EU-27	0.00	0.0%	10.81	+0.2%	0.19	-5.0%	1.37	-1.1%	9.63	+0.3%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	46.6%	8.3%	41.3%	43.5%	0.0%
United States	0.62	+1.0%	6.80	+3.0%	0.15	+1.4%	0.62	+3.2%	6.32	+3.0%	0.63	+0.8%
Share %	57.9%	29.3%	6.6%	18.7%	28.5%	58.9%
Russia	0.04	0.0%	1.16	-0.4%	0.33	0.0%	0.03	-6.7%	1.46	-0.2%	0.04	0.0%
Share %	3.7%	5.0%	14.5%	0.9%	6.6%	3.7%
Brazil	0.00	0.0%	0.82	+1.9%	0.05	0.0%	0.00	+33.3%	0.87	+1.6%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	3.5%	2.2%	0.0%	3.9%	0.0%
Argentina	0.06	+16.0%	0.56	+2.8%	0.00	0.0%	0.11	+2.9%	0.46	+5.3%	0.06	-5.2%
Share %	5.6%	2.4%	0.0%	3.3%	2.1%	5.6%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2025-12-20

Cheese - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2026 (Forecast made in June)
World	-	-	-	-	-
EU-27	-	-	-	-	-
United States	-	-	-	-	-
Russia	-	-	-	-	-
Brazil	-	-	-	-	-
Argentina	-	-	-	-	-
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2025-12-20

Cheese - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2025
World	1.06	-2.6%	22.89	+1.2%	2.31	+3.9%	3.27	+4.7%	21.92	+0.8%	1.07	+0.9%
EU-27	0.00	0.0%	10.79	+0.1%	0.20	+7.0%	1.39	0.0%	9.61	+0.2%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	47.3%	8.4%	42.7%	43.7%	0.0%
United States	0.61	-6.1%	6.60	+2.1%	0.14	-6.5%	0.60	+18.0%	6.14	-0.2%	0.62	+1.0%
Share %	59.5%	29.0%	5.9%	18.5%	27.9%	64.4%
Russia	0.04	0.0%	1.16	0.0%	0.33	+3.1%	0.03	-18.9%	1.46	+1.2%	0.04	0.0%
Share %	3.9%	5.1%	13.9%	0.9%	6.6%	4.2%
Brazil	0.00	0.0%	0.81	+3.2%	0.05	-17.5%	0.00	0.0%	0.85	+1.7%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	3.6%	2.1%	0.0%	3.9%	0.0%
Argentina	0.05	-2.0%	0.54	+8.0%	0.00	+100.0%	0.10	+3.0%	0.43	+7.2%	0.06	+16.0%
Share %	4.9%	2.4%	0.0%	3.1%	2.0%	6.2%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2025-12-20

SMP - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2026 (Forecast made in December)
World	0.43	+11.7%	4.85	+1.4%	1.37	+1.5%	2.32	+0.3%	3.90	+3.2%	0.44	+1.9%
EU-27	0.00	0.0%	1.43	-0.7%	0.04	0.0%	0.75	-1.3%	0.72	0.0%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	29.5%	2.9%	32.3%	18.5%	0.0%
United States	0.10	0.0%	1.05	+5.5%	0.00	0.0%	0.67	-0.1%	0.38	+17.1%	0.10	0.0%
Share %	23.3%	21.6%	0.0%	28.9%	9.7%	22.7%
India	0.03	+25.0%	0.79	+2.6%	0.00	0.0%	0.01	+16.7%	0.78	+2.8%	0.03	+13.3%
Share %	7.0%	16.3%	0.0%	0.4%	20.0%	6.8%
New Zealand	0.09	+41.7%	0.45	-1.1%	0.01	0.0%	0.44	+3.6%	0.01	0.0%	0.09	+5.9%
Share %	20.9%	9.3%	0.7%	19.0%	0.3%	20.5%
Australia	0.02	0.0%	0.17	0.0%	0.01	0.0%	0.16	0.0%	0.03	0.0%	0.02	0.0%
Share %	4.7%	3.5%	0.7%	6.9%	0.8%	4.5%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2025-12-20

SMP - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2026 (Forecast made in June)
World	-	-	-	-	-
EU-27	-	-	-	-	-
United States	-	-	-	-	-
India	-	-	-	-	-
New Zealand	-	-	-	-	-
Australia	-	-	-	-	-
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2025-12-20

SMP - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2025
World	0.38	+1.3%	4.78	-1.3%	1.35	-1.7%	2.31	-1.4%	3.78	-2.5%	0.43	+11.7%
EU-27	0.00	0.0%	1.44	-0.6%	0.04	+4.9%	0.76	+6.1%	0.72	-6.5%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	30.4%	2.9%	33.8%	18.7%	0.0%
United States	0.10	+4.4%	1.00	-12.1%	0.00	+100.0%	0.67	-10.1%	0.33	-14.8%	0.10	0.0%
Share %	24.9%	21.1%	0.0%	29.8%	8.6%	24.6%
India	0.02	+20.0%	0.77	+2.0%	0.00	+∞	0.01	-33.3%	0.76	+2.3%	0.03	+25.0%
Share %	5.0%	16.3%	0.0%	0.4%	19.7%	7.4%
New Zealand	0.06	-11.8%	0.45	+2.3%	0.01	+66.7%	0.42	-4.8%	0.01	0.0%	0.09	+41.7%
Share %	14.9%	9.5%	0.7%	18.7%	0.3%	22.2%
Australia	0.02	-31.4%	0.17	-1.2%	0.01	-9.1%	0.16	-8.8%	0.03	+4.2%	0.02	0.0%
Share %	5.0%	3.6%	0.7%	7.1%	0.8%	4.9%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2025-12-20

WMP - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2026 (Forecast made in December)
World	0.50	-2.7%	4.40	-0.4%	1.03	+0.9%	1.88	-0.7%	3.57	+0.1%	0.49	-2.4%
New Zealand	0.28	+11.2%	1.40	-1.4%	0.00	0.0%	1.38	0.0%	0.02	0.0%	0.29	+2.9%
Share %	56.0%	31.8%	0.0%	73.4%	0.6%	59.2%
China	0.12	-17.2%	1.12	-1.8%	0.43	0.0%	0.06	0.0%	1.50	-2.3%	0.11	-8.3%
Share %	24.0%	25.5%	41.7%	3.2%	42.0%	22.4%
Brazil	0.00	0.0%	0.61	+1.7%	0.14	-1.5%	0.00	0.0%	0.74	+1.1%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	13.9%	13.6%	0.0%	20.7%	0.0%
EU-27	0.00	0.0%	0.59	-1.7%	0.02	0.0%	0.16	-8.8%	0.45	+1.1%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	13.4%	1.9%	8.5%	12.6%	0.0%
Argentina	0.03	-29.5%	0.20	+7.7%	0.00	0.0%	0.15	+7.4%	0.06	+5.0%	0.02	-38.7%
Share %	6.0%	4.5%	0.0%	8.0%	1.7%	4.1%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2025-12-20

WMP - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2026 (Forecast made in June)
World	-	-	-	-	-
New Zealand	-	-	-	-	-
China	-	-	-	-	-
Brazil	-	-	-	-	-
EU-27	-	-	-	-	-
Argentina	-	-	-	-	-
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2025-12-20

WMP - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2025
World	0.51	-3.9%	4.42	0.0%	1.03	0.0%	1.90	+1.6%	3.56	-1.1%	0.50	-2.7%
New Zealand	0.25	+13.6%	1.42	0.0%	0.00	0.0%	1.38	+0.1%	0.02	0.0%	0.28	+11.2%
Share %	50.1%	32.2%	0.0%	72.9%	0.6%	58.3%
China	0.15	-17.1%	1.14	-2.6%	0.43	+3.9%	0.06	+185.7%	1.53	-3.7%	0.12	-17.2%
Share %	30.1%	25.9%	41.1%	3.2%	42.8%	25.0%
Brazil	0.00	0.0%	0.60	+1.7%	0.14	-6.8%	0.00	-66.7%	0.73	+0.3%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	13.6%	13.4%	0.0%	20.4%	0.0%
EU-27	0.00	0.0%	0.60	-3.1%	0.02	+6.7%	0.17	-18.3%	0.45	+4.7%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%	13.6%	1.9%	9.0%	12.6%	0.0%
Argentina	0.04	-12.0%	0.18	+5.2%	0.00	0.0%	0.14	+11.6%	0.06	+3.4%	0.03	-29.5%
Share %	8.0%	4.1%	0.0%	7.4%	1.7%	6.3%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2025-12-20

Global Snapshot

MILK EQUIVALENT | SMP | WMP | BUTTER | CHEESE

Milk Equivalent ('000 Ton)	Δ Milk P.	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Dec 2025 on Jan-Dec 2024
EU-27	+1,7% +2.424	+7,4% +226	+3,9% +899	+0,2% +281	+1.471
New Zealand	+1,8% +398	+35,6% +48	-2,0% -383	0% 0	+829
USA	+2,6% +2.617	-4,2% -90	+2,2% +278	+2,5% +2.406	-157
Australia	-2,1% -181	+7,5% +99	-3,5% -138	+1,5% +111	-54
United Kingdom	+4,9% +760	+4,1% +192	+14,6% +466	+0,6% +106	+380
Argentina	+9,7% +1.059	+65,0% +9	+13,4% +232	+3,1% +168	+668
Uruguay	+5,7% +121	+4,6% +2	+5,4% +86	0% 0	+37
Chile	+6,2% +143	-6,9% -48	+47,5% +137	0% 0	-42
TOTAL	*+2,4%* +7.342	*+3,6%* +437	*+2,4%* +1.576	*+1,2%* +3.071	+3.132
Last update: 2026-04-03 (e) Estimated data * Import, Export and Consumption data are in Milk Equivalent (ME), comprehensive of WMP, Cheese, SMP+Butter and Liquid Milk. Import and Export data are also comprehensive of Condensed Milk and Yogurt. Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-27: Eurostat, FEGA, AGEA, Zuivel; United Kingdom: DEFRA; New Zealand: DCANZ; US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Belarus: National Statistical Committee of the Republic of Belarus; Uruguay: INALE; Argentina: Subsecretaría de Lechería - Ministerio de Agroindustria; Ukraine: State Statistics Committee of Ukraine; Chile: ODEPA. Import/Export: UE-27: Eurostat United KIngdom: United Kingdom HMRC New Zealand: Stat.nz US: Census Bureau Chile: ODEPA Australia, Belarus, Uruguay, Argentina, Ukraine: IHS Domestic consumption data calculated by applying the incidence of consumption over production reported by FAS-USDA on the productions obtained from the local sources. The domestic consumption changes estimated by the FAS-USDA source are updated every six months (June and December). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

Milk Equivalent ('000 Ton)	Δ Milk P.	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Dec 2024 on Jan-Dec 2023
EU-27	+0,7% +1.007	+6,8% +194	-4,4% -1.071	+1,6% +2.150	+123
New Zealand	+1,3% +284	-22,6% -39	-0,1% -24	0% 0	+269
USA	-0,2% -191	+13,0% +248	-0,1% -16	+1,3% +1.211	-1.138
Australia	+2,4% +203	-10,2% -151	+26,1% +812	+2,0% +142	-901
United Kingdom	+1,2% +181	+3,5% +163	-4,7% -157	+0,5% +79	+421
Argentina	-6,5% -758	-53,8% -16	+16,8% +248	-15,3% -967	-55
Uruguay	-3,6% -77	-5,9% -3	+2,4% +37	0% 0	-118
Chile	+3,4% +75	-3,0% -22	+49,8% +96	-1,8% -8	-35
TOTAL	*+0,2%* +723	*+3,2%* +375	*-0,1%* -75	*+1,0%* +2.607	-1.433
Last update: 2026-04-03 (e) Estimated data * Import, Export and Consumption data are in Milk Equivalent (ME), comprehensive of WMP, Cheese, SMP+Butter and Liquid Milk. Import and Export data are also comprehensive of Condensed Milk and Yogurt. Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-27: Eurostat, FEGA, AGEA, Zuivel; United Kingdom: DEFRA; New Zealand: DCANZ; US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Belarus: National Statistical Committee of the Republic of Belarus; Uruguay: INALE; Argentina: Subsecretaría de Lechería - Ministerio de Agroindustria; Ukraine: State Statistics Committee of Ukraine; Chile: ODEPA. Import/Export: UE-27: Eurostat United KIngdom: United Kingdom HMRC New Zealand: Stat.nz US: Census Bureau Chile: ODEPA Australia, Belarus, Uruguay, Argentina, Ukraine: IHS Domestic consumption data calculated by applying the incidence of consumption over production reported by FAS-USDA on the productions obtained from the local sources. The domestic consumption changes estimated by the FAS-USDA source are updated every six months (June and December). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

SMP ('000 Tons)	Δ Prod	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Sep 2025 on Jan-Sep 2024
EU-27	+1,3% +13	+11,9% +4	+4,1% +24	-5,3% -26	+19
USA	-5,1% -40	+390,0% +2	-13,6% -79	0% 0	+40
New Zealand	-3,7% -11	>1000% +5	-7,0% -22	0% 0	+16
Australia	-0,9% -0	-19,3% -2	-8,3% -10	0% 0	+8
TOTAL	*-1,9%* -39	*+20,3%* +9	*-5,5%* -87	*-3,7%* -26	+83
Last update: 2026-02-08 (e) Estimated data Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-27: Eurostat, data estimated by CLAL; United Kingdom: DEFRA; New Zealand: The Data are calculated by applying the incidence of WMP export on Total Dairy export to the annual production data (Source: FAS-USDA). The same calculation is used also to the current year data, applying the incidence calculated for the previous year. US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Import/Export: EU-27: Eurostat New Zealand: Stat.nz US: Census Bureau United Kingdom: United Kingdom HMRC Australia: IHS Domestic consumption data calculated by applying the incidence of consumption over production reported by FAS-USDA on the productions obtained from the local sources. The domestic consumption changes estimated by the FAS-USDA source are updated every six months (June and December). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

SMP ('000 Tons)	Δ Prod	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Dec 2024 on Jan-Dec 2023
EU-27	+0,8% +9	+13,9% +5	-7,7% -59	+10,3% +62	+12
USA	-11,4% -132	-25,6% -0	-8,0% -65	-39,1% -151	+84
New Zealand	+8,9% +35	+1,4% +0	-2,2% -10	0% 0	+45
Australia	-38,9% -27	-15,7% -2	+27,1% +36	-23,3% -7	-59
TOTAL	*-4,0%* -115	*+5,0%* +3	*-4,5%* -98	*-9,3%* -96	+82
Last update: 2026-02-08 (e) Estimated data Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-27: Eurostat, data estimated by CLAL; United Kingdom: DEFRA; New Zealand: The Data are calculated by applying the incidence of WMP export on Total Dairy export to the annual production data (Source: FAS-USDA). The same calculation is used also to the current year data, applying the incidence calculated for the previous year. US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Import/Export: EU-27: Eurostat New Zealand: Stat.nz US: Census Bureau United Kingdom: United Kingdom HMRC Australia: IHS Domestic consumption data calculated by applying the incidence of consumption over production reported by FAS-USDA on the productions obtained from the local sources. The domestic consumption changes estimated by the FAS-USDA source are updated every six months (June and December). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

WMP ('000 Tons)	Δ Prod	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Sep 2025 on Jan-Sep 2024
New Zealand	-2,9% -28	-46,4% -0	-2,9% -27	0% 0	-1
EU-27	-7,9% -42	+19,0% +3	-22,8% -38	-3,8% -14	+12
Australia	-22,2% -6	-9,2% -3	-4,7% -2	+6,2% +2	-8
USA	+18,6% +7	+42,7% +5	+40,3% +8	-4,2% -2	+6
TOTAL	*-4,4%* -68	*+8,5%* +5	*-5,1%* -59	*-3,1%* -14	+9
Last update: 2026-02-08 (e) Estimated data Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-27: Eurostat, BLE, data estimated by CLAL; United Kingdom: DEFRA; New Zealand: The Data are calculated by applying the incidence of WMP export on Total Dairy export to the annual production data (Source: FAS-USDA). The same calculation is used also to the current year data, applying the incidence calculated for the previous year. US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Import/Export: EU-27: Eurostat New Zealand: Stat.nz US: Census Bureau United Kingdom: United Kingdom HMRC Australia: IHS Domestic consumption data calculated by applying the incidence of consumption over production reported by FAS-USDA on the productions obtained from the local sources. The domestic consumption changes estimated by the FAS-USDA source are updated every six months (June and December). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

WMP ('000 Tons)	Δ Prod	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Dec 2024 on Jan-Dec 2023
New Zealand	+1,4% +20	-22,2% -0	+0,5% +7	0% 0	+13
EU-27	-4,8% -35	-13,7% -2	-19,8% -52	+8,7% +38	-24
Australia	+10,8% +3	-21,0% -10	+46,3% +17	-15,8% -6	-18
USA	+0,8% +0	+30,7% +4	-1,2% -0	+33,3% +12	-7
TOTAL	*-0,5%* -11	*-10,3%* -8	*-1,6%* -27	*+8,3%* +44	-36
Last update: 2026-02-08 (e) Estimated data Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-27: Eurostat, BLE, data estimated by CLAL; United Kingdom: DEFRA; New Zealand: The Data are calculated by applying the incidence of WMP export on Total Dairy export to the annual production data (Source: FAS-USDA). The same calculation is used also to the current year data, applying the incidence calculated for the previous year. US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Import/Export: EU-27: Eurostat New Zealand: Stat.nz US: Census Bureau United Kingdom: United Kingdom HMRC Australia: IHS Domestic consumption data calculated by applying the incidence of consumption over production reported by FAS-USDA on the productions obtained from the local sources. The domestic consumption changes estimated by the FAS-USDA source are updated every six months (June and December). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

BURRO ('000 Tons)	Δ Prod	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Aug 2025 on Jan-Aug 2024
New Zealand	+15,5% +49	+131,6% +0	+13,2% +36	0% 0	+13
EU-27	+3,9% +55	+125,5% +28	-2,7% -5	0% 0	+88
USA	+5,6% +39	-23,8% -16	+155,6% +44	+8,9% +63	-85
United Kingdom	+9,0% +0	+0,1% +0	+12,9% +4	+0,9% +1	-5
Australia	+17,3% +3	-0,7% -0	-20,7% -3	0% 0	+6
TOTAL	*+6,0%* +147	*+7,6%* +12	*+14,5%* +76	*+3,0%* +65	+18
Last update: 2026-02-08 (e) Estimated data Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-27: Eurostat; United Kingdom: DEFRA; New Zealand: The Data are calculated by applying the incidence of BUTTER export on Total Dairy export to the annual production data (Source: FAS-USDA). The same calculation is used also to the current year data, applying the incidence calculated for the previous year. US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Import/Export: EU-27: Eurostat New Zealand: Stat.nz US: Census Bureau United Kingdom: United Kingdom HMRC Australia: IHS Domestic consumption data calculated by applying the incidence of consumption over production reported by FAS-USDA on the productions obtained from the local sources. The domestic consumption changes estimated by the FAS-USDA source are updated every six months (June and December). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

BURRO ('000 Tons)	Δ Prod	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Dec 2024 on Jan-Dec 2023
New Zealand	-2,0% -10	+15,2% +0	-9,1% -43	0% 0	+33
EU-27	-1,1% -23	-32,5% -17	-5,1% -15	-1,6% -30	+4
USA	+5,9% +56	+34,3% +28	+29,4% +11	+5,5% +56	+18
United Kingdom	-6,8% -0	+9,7% +6	-19,5% -11	+4,3% +9	+7
Australia	+7,9% +3	-11,7% -6	+136,8% +13	+3,2% +2	-18
TOTAL	*+0,7%* +26	*+4,4%* +11	*-5,2%* -45	*+1,2%* +37	+44
Last update: 2026-02-08 (e) Estimated data Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-27: Eurostat; United Kingdom: DEFRA; New Zealand: The Data are calculated by applying the incidence of BUTTER export on Total Dairy export to the annual production data (Source: FAS-USDA). The same calculation is used also to the current year data, applying the incidence calculated for the previous year. US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Import/Export: EU-27: Eurostat New Zealand: Stat.nz US: Census Bureau United Kingdom: United Kingdom HMRC Australia: IHS Domestic consumption data calculated by applying the incidence of consumption over production reported by FAS-USDA on the productions obtained from the local sources. The domestic consumption changes estimated by the FAS-USDA source are updated every six months (June and December). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

FORMAGGIO ('000 Tons)	Δ Prod	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Aug 2025 on Jan-Aug 2024
EU-27	+0,9% +63	+5,8% +7	+0,4% +3	+0,6% +37	+30
USA	+1,6% +69	-3,3% -4	+15,4% +54	+1,3% +52	-41
New Zealand	+22,2% +54	+13,3% +1	+14,6% +36	0% 0	+18
United Kingdom	+3,6% +0	+3,4% +10	-0,5% -1	+1,3% +7	+4
Australia	-0,8% -2	+8,2% +6	+2,4% +3	+2,6% +7	-6
TOTAL	*+1,6%* +183	*+3,0%* +19	*+5,4%* +95	*+0,9%* +102	+5
Last update: 2025-12-16 (e) Estimated data Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-27: Eurostat, CSO, data estimated by CLAL; United Kingdom: DEFRA; New Zealand: The Data are calculated by applying the incidence of CHEESE export on Total Dairy export to the annual production data (Source: FAS-USDA). The same calculation is used also to the current year data, applying the incidence calculated for the previous year. US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Import/Export: EU-27: Eurostat New Zealand: Stat.nz US: Census Bureau United Kingdom: United Kingdom HMRC Australia: IHS Domestic consumption data calculated by applying the incidence of consumption over production reported by FAS-USDA on the productions obtained from the local sources. The domestic consumption changes estimated by the FAS-USDA source are updated every six months (June and December). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »

FORMAGGIO ('000 Tons)	Δ Prod	Δ Imp*	Δ Exp*	Δ Cons* (e)	Balance Δ(P+I-E-C)
Main Players, changes Jan-Dec 2024 on Jan-Dec 2023
EU-27	+2,4% +230	+7,6% +13	+0,0% +1	+2,9% +249	-7
USA	+0,7% +43	+11,3% +22	+18,0% +79	+0,4% +25	-39
New Zealand	-5,1% -20	-33,1% -5	+0,1% +0	0% 0	-25
United Kingdom	-3,7% -0	+3,9% +17	+9,8% +18	-1,2% -9	+8
Australia	+0,3% +1	-6,4% -7	+28,8% +37	+4,1% +15	-58
TOTAL	*+1,5%* +254	*+4,4%* +40	*+5,4%* +134	*+1,8%* +280	-120
Last update: 2025-12-16 (e) Estimated data Information Note SOURCE Production: EU-27: Eurostat, CSO, data estimated by CLAL; United Kingdom: DEFRA; New Zealand: The Data are calculated by applying the incidence of CHEESE export on Total Dairy export to the annual production data (Source: FAS-USDA). The same calculation is used also to the current year data, applying the incidence calculated for the previous year. US: National Agricultural Statistics Service; Australia: Dairy Australia; Import/Export: EU-27: Eurostat New Zealand: Stat.nz US: Census Bureau United Kingdom: United Kingdom HMRC Australia: IHS Domestic consumption data calculated by applying the incidence of consumption over production reported by FAS-USDA on the productions obtained from the local sources. The domestic consumption changes estimated by the FAS-USDA source are updated every six months (June and December). Note: The balance sheet at the moment does not consider the trade of FFMP (fat-filled milk powder) - HS 190190, milk powder that has a fat content similar to whole milk powder, but instead of butterfat contains vegetable fats.
« Last year Current year »


/Ton	US (2026-04-03)		OCEANIA (2026-03-27)		EU¹ (2026-04-01)		GDT² (2026-03-17)
Product	Value	% Chg*	Value	% Chg*	Value	% Chg*	Value	% Chg*
CHEESE	3.687	+5,7%	4.913	+0,5%	3.768	-0,6%	4.930	-0,3%
BUTTER	3.946	-1,9%	6.988	+4,5%	5.088	-2,8%	6.863	+1,7%
SMP	4.288	+3,5%	3.438	+7,8%	3.208	-1,3%	3.371	+4,5%
WMP	5.137	+1,3%	3.738	-0,3%	3.984	-0,6%	3.694	-3,8%
WHEY POWDER	1.400	-0,8%			1.627	+4,1%
MILK (US$/100Kg)	40,34	+4,6%	42,19	+7,0%	52,42	-1,1%
Change from previous price ¹ Prices refer to Germany. Cheese prices refer to Cheddar in the European Union (source: European Commission (Milk Market Observatory)) ² Contract 2 GDT n.a.*: not available

Show/Hide Global Snapshot in €

/Ton	US (2026-04-03)		OCEANIA (1774566000)		EU¹ (2026-04-01)		GDT² (2026-03-17)
Product	Value	% Chg*	Value	% Chg*	Value	% Chg*	Value	% Chg*
CHEESE	3.199	+5,8%	4.265	+0,2%	3.261	-1,3%	4.295	+1,6%
BUTTER	3.424	-1,8%	6.067	+4,1%	4.425	-2,2%	5.979	+3,7%
SMP	3.721	+3,4%	2.985	+7,5%	2.790	-0,7%	2.937	+6,5%
WMP	4.457	+1,2%	3.245	-0,7%	3.465	0,0%	3.218	-2,0%
WHEY POWDER	1.215	-0,9%			1.415	+4,8%
MILK (€/100Kg)	34,12	+3,8%	35,94	+6,7%	44,33	-1,8%
Change from previous price ¹ Prices refer to Germany. Cheese prices refer to Cheddar in the European Union (source: European Commission (Milk Market Observatory)) ² Contract 2 GDT n.a.*: not available

FOCUS Price Products € in real time

		Area	Last updated	± from prev. price	± from 1 year ago
Price / Quotation
	Whole Milk…
	▸ “SPOT”	Italy	30 Mar 2026	+1,6%	-58,5%
	▸ farm-gate	EU (13 country)	Feb 2026	-4,9%	-13,4%
	▸ farm-gate	USA	Feb 2026	+3,8%	-31,7%
	PDO cheeses…
	▸ hard	Italy	2 Apr 2026	+0,3%	+3,7%
	▸ semi-hard	Italy	30 Mar 2026	-0,1%	-2,3%
	▸ fresh	Italy	30 Mar 2026	0,0%	-3,9%
	Cheeses	Germany and Oceania	1 Apr 2026	+0,0%	-8,7%
	Butter	Italy, Germany and Oceania	1 Apr 2026	+0,6%	-32,0%
	SMP (Skimmed Milk Powder)	Germany, Oceania and USA	3 Apr 2026	+2,0%	+24,0%
	Whey powder	Germany and USA	3 Apr 2026	+2,7%	+44,4%
	Feed input
	▸ Corn	Italy and USA	2 Apr 2026	-0,1%	-6,4%
	▸ Soybeans	Italy and USA	2 Apr 2026	+0,1%	+0,4%
	▸ GMO Soybean Meal	Italy	2 Apr 2026	-3,4%	+22,8%
	Oil	Europe	27 Mar 2026	-0,1%	+49,6%
Retail price
	PDO hard cheeses	Italy	Feb 2026	-2,7%	+4,2%
	Fresh cheeses	Italy	Feb 2026	-1,7%	+1,3%
	Butter	Italy	Feb 2026	-5,6%	-6,4%

Percentage price changes relate to (i) the last quotation period, and to (ii) the same period of the previous year

CLICK HERE for further information.

World Supply and Demand

Global Milk Supply in the Key Exporters of Dairy Products: +4,1% (Jan'26 - Feb'26)

Dairy Products Production in some Key Exporting Countries

Milk Powders (WMP and SMP), Butter and Cheese Exports of the main Exporting countries +8,73% (Dec'25 - Jan'26)

BUTTER Stocks
· US Stocks: Feb 28, 2026 115.109 tons (+11.9% on Jan 31, 2026; -17.0% on Feb, 2025)
· EU-27
Consumption (Production + Import - Export): Jan 31,2026: 171.948 tons (-0,6% on 31, 2025; +8,2% on Jan, 2025)

SMP Stocks
· US Stocks: Feb 28, 2026 99.935 tons (+3.4% on Jan 31, 2026; -12.0% on Feb, 2025)
· EU-27
Consumption (Production + Import - Export): Jan 31,2026 60.756 tons (+9,0% on 31, 2025; +33,0% on Jan, 2025)

CHEESE Stocks
· US Stocks: Feb 28, 2026 629.304 tons (+0.4% on Jan 31, 2026; -1.0% on Feb, 2025)
· EU-27
Consumption (Production + Import - Export): Jan 31,2026 0 tons (+9,0% on 31, 2025; +33,0% on Jan, 2025)
· ITALY

Grana Padano Stocks:
- Marked PDO: Jan 31, 2026 1.948.148 number of wheels (+4,7% on 31 Dec 2025; +3,0% on Jan, 2025)
- Total: Jan 31, 2026 0 number of wheels (+nan% on 31 Dec 2025; -100,0% on Jan, 2025)

DRY WHEY Stocks
· US Stock: Feb 28, 2026 26.366 tons (-7.1% rispetto a Jan 31, 2026; -7.3% rispetto a Feb, 2025)

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CLAL is an Italian Dairy Economic Consulting firm that analyses the Dairy Market, describes trends and provides data, news and synthesis thanks to information and training activities.

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Dairy Market Alert

Clal.it outlines hereafter some important changes that occured in the market and may have an impact on the market trend Cheese, Butter, Powder and Packed Milk import and export flows of the main dairy players.

▸ United States Cream Export: +31,9% (Feb '26) **
▸ Mexico Cheese Import: +33,9% (Feb '26) **
▸ United States Butter Export: +76,8% (Feb '26) **
▸ Mexico Cream Import: +500,9% (Feb '26) **

Show/Hide all ALERT

▸ Japan Cheese Import: -16,7% (Feb '26) **
▸ United States Cheese Export: +30,4% (Feb '26) **
▸ United States Cheese Import: -21,4% (Feb '26) **
▸ United States Butter Import: -36,9% (Feb '26) **
▸ Australia Butter Export: -31,5% (Feb '26) **
▸ Australia Bulk and Packed Milk Export: +14,8% (Feb '26) **
▸ Australia WMP Export: -25,3% (Feb '26) **
▸ Japan Cream Import: -47,1% (Feb '26) **

Access the Dairy World Trade section » to analyse more in depth

** Compared to the same month of the previous year (Information Note)

Import or Export changes become “Alerts” if the given thresholds are exceeded: Cream ± 20 %, Milk in packings of > 2 l ± 20 %, Milk in packings of <= 2 l ± 20 %, Baby milk ± 15 %, Butter ± 15 %, Cheese ± 15 %, SMP ± 20 %, WMP ± 20 %, Whey powder ± 40 %

Clal Updates and Publications

CLAL.it provides the Operators with a range of updated information.

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Amul: the future is in Proteins and the Cooperative, not in the stock exchange
Jayen Mehta – Managing director of Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing Federation (Amul), India By: The CLAL Team and Leo Bertozzi ... read
The changing landscape of Livestock Diseases in 2025
By: Alberto Lancellotti In recent months, various animal diseases have raised increasing concern across the livestock sector, both globally... read
United States tariffs: follow the evolution of Dairy trade
By: Alberto Lancellotti In a context of uncertainty linked to the possible introduction of new tariffs by the United States on dairy ... read

GlobalDairyTrade results of March 17, 2026

Change in Price Index from Previous Event: +0,1 %
Average Winning Price: 4.330 US$ / Ton

	Average price USD / Ton	Change
AMF (Anhydrous Milk Fat)	7.602	+6,4 %
BMP (Butter Milk Powder)	n.a.	-
BUTTER 82%	6.868	-0,9 %
RENNET CASEIN	n.a.	-
CHEDDAR	4.925	+0,1 %
LACTOSE	1.450	-0,3 %
MOZZARELLA	4.208	+0,5 %
MPC (Milk Protein Concentrate)	n.a.	-
SMP (Skim. milk Powder)	3.409	+5,2 %
SWP (Sweet Whey Powder)	n.a.	-
WMP (Whole milk Powder)	3.709	-4,0 %

Next GlobalDairyTrade Event: April 07, 2026

ITALY: Import/Export as of December 31, 2025

Exports of G.Padano + P.Reggiano:	+1,54 %
Exports of Gorgonzola:	-2,14 %
Exports of Grated cheese:	+5,55 %

Imports of Full-fat bulk milk:	-1,16 %
Imports of Packed semi-skimmed milk:	-3,08 %

Next Update: April 17, 2026

a new project: Sistema Stalla

Performance and Competitiveness of Italian Dairy Farms

CLAL focus on: Piave PDO Cheese

Name:: Piave PDO Cheese

Producer:: Lattebusche
Headquarters:: Busche di Cesiomaggiore (BL), Italy

Other Products: cheese, fresh cheese, dairy products, milk, ice cream

Piave is a hard, cooked PDO cheese made in the province of Belluno, the northernmost part of the Veneto region in north-eastern Italy, bordering the Dolomiti Bellunesi National Park. It can be made exclusively from milk that has been collected in the same area. It is distinguished by its flavour: sweet and intense, never spicy, with a full aroma reminiscent of Alpine herbs and flowers.

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Butter - Balance sheet in Mio Tons \| Year 2026 (Forecast made in December)
Country	Beginning Stocks		Production		Import		Export		Consumption		Ending Stocks
World	0.25	-6.3%	12.62	+2.4%	0.67	+1.8%	1.12	-4.8%	12.19	+3.1%	0.24	-4.0%
India	0.00	0.0%	7.44	+3.4%	0.00	0.0%	0.09	+3.7%	7.35	+3.4%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%		59.0%		0.0%		8.0%		60.3%		0.0%
EU-27	0.00	0.0%	2.06	-1.4%	0.08	0.0%	0.23	-15.1%	1.91	+0.5%	0.00	0.0%
Share %	0.0%		16.3%		11.9%		20.5%		15.7%		0.0%
United States	0.09	-7.2%	1.15	+7.0%	0.08	+9.7%	0.09	-21.2%	1.14	+9.0%	0.10	+5.6%
Share %	36.0%		9.1%		11.9%		8.0%		9.4%		41.7%
New Zealand	0.04	-21.2%	0.54	0.0%	0.00	0.0%	0.52	0.0%	0.03	0.0%	0.03	-26.8%
Share %	16.0%		4.3%		0.0%		46.4%		0.2%		12.5%
Russia	0.02	0.0%	0.28	-0.7%	0.12	+6.2%	0.00	0.0%	0.39	+1.3%	0.02	0.0%
Share %	8.0%		2.2%		17.9%		0.0%		3.2%		8.3%
Source: USDA, Latest update: 2025-12-20

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