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Posted on 18/11/2020
World Corn Production and Export are expected to grow for the new season, driven by the United States and Brazil.
Corn prices increased in the USA, Argentina and some EU countries, including Italy.
Michele from the CLAL Team illustrates the Corn market trend in the following video.
World Corn Production for the season September 2020 – August 2021 is projected at 1,144.6 Mio Tons, according to USDA. The forecast, updated in November, is slightly lower than the previous estimate, but it still shows a year-over-year rise by +2.5%.
The increase in production is driven by the United States (+6.5%) and Brazil (+7.8%). Production in the European Union, Argentina and Ukraine is expected to decrease due to drought conditions.
The forecast of Corn Export for the 2020-21 season is positive, with an expected variation of +8.0% compared to the 2019-20 agricultural year. Also this increase is driven by the United States (+49.0%) and Brazil (+14.7%).
The European Union, in the period January – September 2020, exported 3.142.400 mio tons of corn, +15.4% compared to the first 9 months of 2019. However, for the 2020-2021 season, a significant reduction is expected. Exports from Argentina and Russia are also estimated to decrease.
Corn prices continue to rise in the USA. The average November price in West Iowa is $156.8 per Ton, +5.1% compared to the previous month. Also in Argentina the price rose significantly, starting from June, and the average monthly price of the Mercado Rosario is $190 per ton.
This trend is also reflected in the prices in The Netherlands, Portugal, Spain and Italy. The current prices in Bologna for Italian corn range between 194€/Ton and 200€/Ton.
For more details on the dairy, agricultural and swine markets, follow us on our websites CLAL.it and TESEO.clal.it.
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